As expected, the market is quickly returning to the mean as the effects of the tax stimulus disappear in our collective rearview mirror.
Since the last update based on the July 3 statistics, we have seen some interesting shifts:
Since July 3, 2010:
- Total Active properties are up 5%
(from 3,620 to 3,803 homes on the market)
- Total Pending properties are up 3.1%
(from 620 to 639 homes under contract)
- Total Sales are up 7.1%
(from 2600 to 3030 homes now sold year-to-date)
If we compare this to the same date Aug 14, 2009, we see:
Compared to same time last year through August 14, 2009:
- Total Active are up 16%
- Total Pending are down 22.7%
- Total Sold are up 7.1%
- Total Combined Pending & Sold are up 0.3%
(vs a combined total of up 7.8% on July 3, 2010)
Bottom Line:
At this point for Delaware County PA, it would appear that the stimulus simply moved sales to earlier in the year without really increasing the market. Total Sales are now basically in line with the 2009 rate. With current pendings down 22% from last year, total sales will quickly fall behind the 2009 rate. In addition, a declining sales rate combined with an increasing inventory points to a buyers' market and continued price pressure throughout the market.
Next Up:
We still have the traditionally strong sales months of September and October directly in front of us so activity could easily pick up short term which would quickly help to ease any pressure on prices. With the continuing low interest rates, this remains an incredible opportunity for anyone looking at buying and holding long term. Prices could still decline short term, but over a multi-year time frame, this could be an historic low combination of prices and interest rates. We are already seeing strong turnarounds in some pockets across the country.
As always, if you have any questions or comments, please feel free to let me know anytime.
David Henke
Long & Foster Real Estate Inc - Newtown Square,PA/Bear, DE
Office: 610-359-3853/Cell: 610-618-0808
www.DelawareCountyPennsylvaniaHomes.com
(All statistics per the TrendMLS System and believed accurate but not guaranteed)

Barley Mill Courts is an exclusive small community with a pleasant mix of single family properties and 16 townhomes. The development is located just south of Barley Mill Road west of Route 141. This ideal location affords immediate access to Route 141, Route 52/ Kennett Pike, and Route 48/ Lancaster Pike. These provide easy commuting options into downtown Wilmington, Greenville, Centerville, Hockessin, and I-95 toward Philadelphia or Baltimore.
The first homes in Barley Mill Courts were completed in 1975 with development continuing into the early 1980s. The townhomes average 2,000 sqft with the largest unit ranging up to 2,850 sqft. The single family homes range from 2,500 sqft ranch homes to over 4,000 sqft classic colonials. The "courts" design allow for smaller lot sizes with an abundance of open common space. The homes themselves are today located in a nicely wooded environment.
Real estate pricing in the community has remained relatively stable through the years. The average sales price first rose above the $500,000 level in 2003 and has continued to ranged between $490,000 and $550,000 including both the single family homes and townhomes. Since having five sales with an average sales price of $519,000 in 2008, there was only one sale in 2009 for $490,000 and two sales in 2010 for an average price of $512,500. Today, there is one twin on the market for $465,000 and one pending single family home for $675,000.





























